They say you should never be scared of one horse and the 2011 Crown Oaks field that will line up today looks very different to the one last Saturday.Luxbet had Atlantic Jewel at $1.15 in the 2011 Crown Oaks field betting such was her dominance over the three-year-old fillies this season and particularly in Saturday’s Wakeful Stakes (2000m).
All in betting with Luxbet had the rest of the 2011 Crown Oaks field over double figure odds.
Then the shock on Sunday when Atlantic Jewel’s trainer Mark Kavanagh withdrew the filly after she pulled up sore.
Now the betting on the 2011 Crown Oaks field is far more open.
Robert Smerdon didn’t listen to the adage and was avoiding Atlantic Jewel before the quick shift this week.
She will carry the number one saddlecloth in the 2011 Crown Oaks field and Luxbethave her at $4.20.
The race for the Edward Manifold winner is somewhat an afterthought with the worry being she may not het the 2500m need for the 2011 Crown Oaks field to cover.
The distance query is held over all the fillies but one who looks stout is the 2011 Crown Oaks field favourite Dowager Queen Luxbet $3.70.
She was beaten out of sight by Atlantic Jewel in thwe Wakeful but was clearly the second best run in the race making good ground over the final stages in the 2000m event.
Trainer Graeme Rogerson is talking up her chances and he knows a bit about VRC Oaks winners having trained Grand Archway to victory in 1998.
Bart Cummings has a great record in the Oaks and will be trying for his tenth winner with Gliding.
Cummings has won the VRC Oaks with Light Fingers (1964), Sanderae (1970), Leica Star (1974), Taj Eclipse (1983), Tristanagh (1989), Weekend Delight (1990), Richfield Lady (1991), Magical Miss (2001) and Faint Perfume (2009).
Luxbet believe Gliding is an eachway chance in the 2011 Crown Oaks field and have made her $7 fixed odds.
The only other horse under double figure odds in the 2011 Crown Oaks field is Rahveel.
It is trained by one of Cummings’s old foreman Leon Corstens.
Being by Zabeel she is definitely bred to get the journey and Luxbet fear her for that fact and have her at $7.
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|No||Last 10||Horse||Trainer||Jockey||Barrier||Weight||Penalty||Hcp Rating|
|1||12X353126||MOSHEEN||Robert Smerdon||Danny Nikolic||2||55.5kg||100|
|2||1144X16323||DOWAGER QUEEN (NZ)||Graeme & Debbie Rogerson||Hugh Bowman (late alt)||8||55.5kg||86|
|3||3346514||GLIDING||Bart Cummings||Darren Beadman||10||55.5kg||82|
|4||771452||RAHVEEL||Leon Corstens||Damien Oliver (late alt)||11||55.5kg||78|
|5||21258||ROMA GIACONDA||David Hayes||Steven Arnold||6||55.5kg||72|
|6||32036||GIOE||Michael Kent||Brad Rawiller||9||55.5kg||66|
|7||2012X7704||VITTORIA (NZ)||Michael Kent||Craig Newitt||4||55.5kg||66|
|8||5X4150||FALLEN ONE||Grahame Begg||Brenton Avdulla||1||55.5kg||65|
|9||214||FLAME OF LANKA||David Hayes||Dwayne Dunn||5||55.5kg||64|
|10||0921||LADY JOUSTER (NZ)||Anthony Cummings||Dean Yendall||3||55.5kg||61|
|11||516||PENTIMENTO||Michael Kent||Corey Brown (late alt)||7||55.5kg||65|